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Challenges & Insights: Generating a Price Guide of Trading Card Values Uncategorized

Price Trends for Selected (High Volume) Cards

Recently I pulled a small subset of cards: the top-5 selling cards for each sports category (and the misc bin). So, that would be the top-5 selling cards (based on my dataset) in hockey, basketball, baseball, football and “the rest” (mostly, Marvel).

I haven’t much analysis — other than to say that, the cards are drawn from a dataset made up of a single consigner’s auctions (COMC). As such, the types of cards most likely to appear are skewed given the service’s price structure (e.g., it tends to cost $3.50 to 5.50 to list cards, so you won’t see high-volume cards that clear the market at a couple bucks).

So, without further ado…

Baseball Cards including Juan Soto; Ronald Acuna; Ken Griffey Jr; etc.

Perhaps most notably, while some cards boomed into July of 2020, all experienced steady declines thereafter.

Select baseball card price trends…

Basketball Cards including Michael Jordan; Kevin Durant; Ja Morant; etc.

Pay close attention to the scaling on this graph. . . the y-axis peaks around $350, and so the lower valued cards that look like they have a shallow decline actually have a pretty brutal decline. Otherwise, I leave it to your inspection…

Select basketball card price trends…

Football Cards including Patrick Mahomes; Justin Herbert; Barry Sanders; etc.

Perhaps more stability than the two graphics above… but, nonetheless, an uninspired environment. Curiously, I figured the hit to the market would be concentrated in the ultra-modern stuff, but looks like the Barry Sander’s card isn’t fairing so well either.

Select football card price trends…

Hockey Cards including Cale Makar; the Hughes Brothers; Kaprizov and Lafreniere

Once again, hockey — like football — displays some relative stability, yet still not much to write home about. Incredible climb for Cale Makar, plateauing soon thereafter. Lafreniere’s value seemingly tracking his slow start.

Select hockey card price trends…

Misc Cards including Magic; Stan Lee; Marcos Ambrose; Collin Morikawa; etc.

It was hard to pull a rounded sample here… I just wanted to pull the most frequently occurring cards, but ideally I would have covered golf; Pokemon; tennis; etc. Relatively flat trends, which I may need to look into more closely — suspiciously flat…

Select price trends for cards from my miscellaneous bin…